Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Promoting Intra-African Trade and Private Sector Dynamism

According to the Economic Development in Africa Report 2013 promoting entrepreneurship and building private sector supply capacity are vital to enhancing the capacity of African enterprises to produce and export goods to both regional and global markets. Efforts to promote entrepreneurship and intra-African trade must address the challenges presented by five distinctive features of Africa’s enterprise structure, namely (i) high and rising levels of informality, (ii) the relatively small size of African firms, (iii) weak inter-firm linkages, (iv) low levels of competitiveness and (v) the lack of innovation capability. 

There is therefore a need for policy actions to stem rising informality in Africa through facilitating the transition of firms from the informal to the formal economy. This requires simplifying procedures for obtaining permits for business registration, government provision of information to all citizens on how to start a business and on the rights and responsibilities of entrepreneurs, simplifying the tax system to reduce the cost and complications of complying with laws and regulations and strengthening the capacity of government agencies to administer laws and regulations.

African Governments should also facilitate the upward mobility of enterprises and the growth of firms by providing better access to finance and business services, particularly for SMEs. The establishment of credit bureaus and registries to reduce information asymmetry between lenders and borrowers is one feasible mechanism for enhancing access to finance for SMEs. Furthermore, developing the capacity of SMEs to meet the needs of large firms through training and the provision of business services and market information will promote inter-firm linkages and should be a priority for African Governments. 

Large firms (both domestic and foreign) can also contribute to the development of business linkages by providing SMEs with information on opportunities in their supply chain and also investing in education and training aimed at building the skills of the local community. 

African Governments should also address the constraints on intra-African trade imposed by the lack of transport, energy, communications and water infrastructure. The report argues that, given the scale and scope of African infrastructure needs, there is a need to strengthen domestic resource mobilization on the continent and also catalyze more private investment into infrastructure through public–private partnerships. It also recommends that regional development finance institutions should float infrastructure bonds to mobilize more funds for infrastructure development. Furthermore, it recommends that African Governments also address the issue of the lack of competitiveness of African enterprises, perhaps through granting subsidies to reduce the cost of factor inputs for exporting enterprises,

The establishment of a credible mechanism for effective relations between the State and business is also needed to unlock private sector potential, build productive capacity and enhance prospects for boosting intra-African trade. African Governments need to have regular consultations with the private sector for a better understanding of the constraints they face and how to address them. Purposeful and predictable leadership will also be needed to build trust between Governments and the private sector and create an environment that can enhance and sustain dialogue between both stakeholders. Checks and balances are also needed to ensure that close collaboration with the private sector does not exacerbate rent-seeking behavior. Transparency in dealings with the private sector and also the inclusion of civil society in dialogues between firms and Governments is a good way to reduce the scope for rent-seeking and corruption.

Rethinking the approach to regional integration

There is a need for a move towards a development-based approach, which pays as much attention to the building of productive capacity and private sector development as to the elimination of trade barriers. While the elimination of trade barriers is important, it will not lead to a significant expansion of intra-African trade if productive capacities are not developed. This requires deliberate government measures to strengthen the domestic private sector and promote industrial restructuring and economic transformation. It also requires a strategic approach to trade policy, coordination of investment into priority areas and strengthening of the institutions and capabilities of African Governments for implementing economic policies. The report identifies industrial policy, development corridors, special economic zones and regional value chains as important tools and vehicles for promoting intra-African trade within the context of developmental regionalism.

There is therefore a need for more direct intervention by the highest levels in government with regards to private sector concerns e.g. at the presidential level.


Intra-African Investment Predominately in Services Sectors

According to Economic Development in Africa Report 2013, available data indicate that intra-African investment is becoming important in several African countries. For example, between 2008 and 2010, Botswana, Malawi, Nigeria, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania received more than 20 per cent of their total inward stock of FDI from other African countries. Furthermore, it is estimated that intra-African FDI in new projects grew at an annual compound rate of 23 per cent between 2003 and 2011. A growing share of intra-African FDI goes to the services sector. 


Between 2003 and 2011, about 68 per cent of the 673 deals relating to intra-African greenfield investments went to services, compared with 28 per cent for manufacturing and 4 per cent for the primary sector. Within services, about 70 per cent of the deals were in finance. To the extent that manufacturing firms rely on business services, the growth of the service sector is likely to have a positive impact on the development of productive capacity and therefore the performance of manufacturing firms and intra-African trade.

Monday, July 15, 2013

Africa's Competitiveness

The results of the Africa Competitiveness Report 2013 provides a good sense of the many factors that are holding back Africa’s competitiveness. The 2013 Executive Opinion Survey carried out in 2012 shows that access to financing, inefficient government bureaucracy, and corruption present the most important hindrances to doing business in Africa.

While access to finance represents business leaders’ biggest concern by a wide margin, this confirms the lack of depth of the financial market in a majority of African economies. In addition, the lack of a sufficiently skilled workforce including the inadequate supply of infrastructure presents a significant obstacle for businesses in sub-Saharan Africa. Sub-Saharan African business leaders are also more concerned about high tax rates including government instability and coups coupled with policy uncertainty which have become serious concerns for business leaders. Inflation also continues to receive attention from business leaders.

Many African countries continue to feature among the least competitive economies in the world. By competitiveness we mean all of the factors, institutions, and policies that determine a country’s level of productivity. Productivity, in turn, sets the sustainable level and path of prosperity that a country can achieve. In other words, more competitive economies tend to be able to produce higher levels of income for their citizens. Competitiveness also determines the rates of return obtained by investment. Because the rates of return are the fundamental drivers of growth rates, a more competitive economy is one that is likely to grow faster over the medium to long term. The basic building blocks for a competitive economy include governance and institutions, infrastructure, and education.

This Report provides recommendations which could facilitate trade and regional integration, and jointly could be important drivers for improving the region’s competitiveness. These include simplifying import export procedures and trade facilitation, developing and leveraging ICTs, improving energy, improving transportation and infrastructure and finally building growth poles to develop productive capacity.

Power Africa

President Obama promoted his new, multi-billion dollar “Power Africa” initiative to expand electricity access in Africa during his recent visit to Africa, calling it a benefit to Africans and the U.S. alike.

The President said it is a win for the United States because the investments made in Africa, including in cleaner energy, means more exports for the U.S. and more jobs in the U.S

According to reports, Power Africa has identified six initial partner countries – Ethiopia, Ghana, Kenya, Liberia, Nigeria and Tanzania – all of which “have set ambitious goals in electric power generation and are making the utility and energy sector reforms to pave the way for investment and growth. 


Power Africa will bring to bear a wide range of U.S. government tools to support investment in Africa’s energy sector. From policy and regulatory best practices, to pre-feasibility support and capacity building, to long-term financing, insurance, guarantees, credit enhancements and technical assistance Power Africa will provide coordinated support to help African partners expand their generation capacity and access.

The United States will commit more than $7 billion in financial support over the next five years to this effort, and will partner with the private sector, who themselves have committed more than $9 billion in investment. 

See more here

Friday, July 5, 2013

Regional Approach to the Integration of Logistics Services in the EAC

Article I wrote for EABC in 2013 republished here.

The five East African Community (EAC) countries vary in their degree of integration into world markets, global supply chains and application of global best practices in trade logistics. The 2012 publication Trade in the Global Economy, compares the Logistics PerformanceIndex (LPI) of 155 countries and is measurement of the logistics efficiency of an economy. The performance of the EAC Partner States is poor overall, and not surprisingly it varies widely between the landlocked and transit countries. Tanzania for instance scores the highest LPI in the EAC region with a rank of 88 out of 155 countries, followed by Kenya at 122, Rwanda at 139 and Burundi at 155. Landlocked economies are geographically disadvantaged and restricted with regard to transit and logistical transport conditions outside their borders and hence faced with longer transit times and higher transit and transport costs. Recent studies show that importing into a landlocked country typically takes a week longer than its coastal neighbors while freight costs alone can be up to 40 per cent of export values for landlocked developing countries. The higher costs are caused by inadequate transit transport inter-modal connections, poor regulation and service and to address these concerns, the EAC region could benefit from a regional approach to streamline the logistics services sector and consolidate the broad range of logistics institutions, private sector, and relevant stakeholders into a single cross-border transport, logistics system and platform.

African economies generally have the highest trade logistics costs in the world and the EAC is not an exception to this trend. In a recent study, a set of estimates for Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda places the average cost of trade logistics services at the equivalent of a tax of between 25 and 40 percent on value added, which is rather alarming. For this reason, overall performance of the logistics sector in the EAC can impact negatively on the regions trade competitiveness, trade expansion, export diversification, ability to attract foreign direct investments, and invigorate economic growth. While infrastructure is an important and costly constraint, institutions, the regulatory environment and regional cooperation are equally vital for efficient logistics services and the consolidation of the EAC customs union and common market. 

Logistics services encompass streamlined door-to-door multimodal transport services from a logistics chain perspective and they determine the cost of getting goods from point of supplier to point of buyer. These services include services auxiliary to all modes of transport such as maritime, road, air, rail and pipeline services, freight and include other relevant services such as courier, cargo and freight services, customs broker services, testing services, warehousing, distribution, information and communication management and some aspects of financial services. Logistics services have become an increasingly large obstacle to Africa’s trade performance because of a profound change in the nature of international trade that has taken place in the last quarter century: the explosion of “trade in tasks.” In some manufacturing activities, a production process can be decomposed into a series of steps or tasks and since transport and coordination costs have fallen in many parts of the world, it has become efficient to produce different steps in the process in different countries. Even though African enterprises could compete with Chinese and Indian firms in factory floor costs in some product lines such as garments and other simple manufactured goods, overall African producers might be unable to compete given that the cost and efficiency of logistics services in the continent is a major supply side constraint 

Reforms are underway in the EAC region, to consolidate the customs union through various separate interventions, including harmonization of policies and regulations, modernization of transport and border management institutions, the NTB monitoring mechanism, standards and testing and investment in infrastructure. The 2012 World Bank Doing Business Report indicates that all 5 EAC economies implemented 11 combined regulatory reforms in trade facilitation, in areas such as the electronic submission of documents, risk management systems for inspections and joint border cooperation. While this is commendable, rather than individually address interlinked trade logistics issues, the EAC Partner States could jointly consider a comprehensive program on trade logistics services to address the weakest links in the macro-supply chain and thereby stimulate cooperation between public and private players. A legal instrument similar to the Logistics Protocol found in the ASEAN region, could provide a cross-sectoral platform for regulatory cooperation and dialogue among government, business, and civil society. An EAC logistics sectoral protocol would also consolidate the cross-cutting objectives of the Common Market as enshrined in Part B of the Protocol on the Establishment of the Common Market Protocol. A useful place to start would be a road-map for the integration of the logistics services sector through a framework for private public consultative dialogue, progressive liberalization and trade facilitation, in order to support the enhancement of EAC competitiveness and creation of an integrated trade logistics environment.