Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investment. Show all posts

Monday, October 12, 2015

South Africa Leads on Inward Foreign Investment

South Africa leads as the top destination in Africa for inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and shows clear economic potential, according to new research from fDi Markets.

Between 2010 and 2014, the country saw the highest number of inward FDI projects in Africa with 667 investments chiefly in the business services sector (19 percent). This is closely followed by software and IT services (17.86 percent) and financial services (12.62 percent). 

South Africa’s vast mining industry saw precious mineral reserves and prices dwindle in 2014. The country also relinquished its status as Africa’s biggest economy to Nigeria, following the latter’s recalculation of its GDP base. Unemployment continues to have a crippling effect on the nation - with youth unemployment hovering at 54 percent - and growth is set to average 2 percent. However, good corporate governance and transparency keeps South Africa’s Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) - the continent’s oldest and largest equity market - a draw for overseas investors. Further, following an acute depreciation of the rand to its lowest in 15 years, the economy is showing signs of embarking on an export-led recovery.

Meanwhile a World bank report states that the continent of Africa has become the second most attractive investment destination in the world – ranking just behind North America.

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Intra-African Investment Predominately in Services Sectors

According to Economic Development in Africa Report 2013, available data indicate that intra-African investment is becoming important in several African countries. For example, between 2008 and 2010, Botswana, Malawi, Nigeria, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania received more than 20 per cent of their total inward stock of FDI from other African countries. Furthermore, it is estimated that intra-African FDI in new projects grew at an annual compound rate of 23 per cent between 2003 and 2011. A growing share of intra-African FDI goes to the services sector. 


Between 2003 and 2011, about 68 per cent of the 673 deals relating to intra-African greenfield investments went to services, compared with 28 per cent for manufacturing and 4 per cent for the primary sector. Within services, about 70 per cent of the deals were in finance. To the extent that manufacturing firms rely on business services, the growth of the service sector is likely to have a positive impact on the development of productive capacity and therefore the performance of manufacturing firms and intra-African trade.

Monday, June 10, 2013

Case for a Multilateral Investment Agreement?

Despite the importance of FDI, its governance is fragmented and is found in multilateral agreements, RTAs and in BITs. There is however no single, comprehensive multilateral treaty or institution to oversee investment activity. Previous attempts to bring FDI under multilateral purview have failed. The result is a complex and confusing overlay of disciplines at different levels. To address this issue, a recent study on Investment under the auspices of the World Economic Forum makes a case for multilateral rules on investment and six reasons are stressed. 

First, the rise of Global Value Chains (GVCs) sharpens the need for global and holistic regulations; GVCs need global rules. Second, there is a proven appetite for international investment regulation; nations are “voting with their pens” for more discipline – signing hundreds of BITs and RTAs. But the result lacks coherence in terms of rules and application. Third, the North-South divide is disappearing on the investment-governance issue. Emerging markets’ role in FDI has grown tremendously in recent years –both as home and host nations. Fourth, the stigma that has been historically attached to FDI has sharply abated in recent years. Many countries are pursuing economic liberalization for the recognized benefits it brings. Fifth, and by contrast, the fragile and slow recovery of the world economy has led some countries to adopt protectionist measures against trade and investment. This regression heightens the need for multilateral rules. Sixth, increased FDI by State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) and Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) presents new challenges to ensuring that competition conditions in the global marketplace remain equitable and do not give rise to national security concerns.

The report further argues that if an International Investment Agreement (IIA) is to emerge in the future, the WTO is the logical home for it. The WTO has the potential to yield more equitable outcomes and ensure non-discrimination, and it provides access to a dispute settlement mechanism that has worked well. This IIA may entail provisions in different areas, including the protection of investors, establishing investor-state dispute settlement and subjecting the agreement to the WTO state-state system, and providing post establishment national treatment. Pre-establishment or access provisions on investment are also important, as are notions of corporate social responsibility. In any case, there is a sense that the balance of rights and obligations needs to be revisited.

However another Study by Econstor states that the case for a WTO agreement on investment is weak. Four main reasons are given. 
  • The absence of such an agreement has not prevented the recent boom of FDI in developing countries through RTAs, BITs and unilaterally.
  • Likewise, substantial unilateral liberalization of FDI regulations was undertaken in the past even though multilateral obligations to do so did not exist. 
  • The coverage of protections provided for investors in various BITs (and RTAs) goes beyond what can be expected from the Doha Round. Nevertheless, BITs do not appear to have had a significant impact on FDI flows to signatory countries. 
  • It is also questionable whether RTAs such as NAFTA as well as MERCOSUR had a strong and lasting effect on FDI flows to developing member countries. 

Wednesday, May 23, 2012

EAC: U.S. Counters with New Trade Pact


Kenya and other East Africa economies could witness a huge inflow of investment and development support as the US moves to counter the gains made by the EU and surging Asian nations such as China and India. The US said it is crafting a new incentive-laden trade and investment treaty for the East African Community (EAC), which it has identified as a potential hub to host its regional business interests.

The proposed treaty would mark a major shift in America’s engagement with the region, which at present is anchored on a simple Trade and Investment Agreement (TIFA) signed with the EAC in July 2008. The TIFA’s main role is to strengthen the US-EAC trade and investment relationship, expand and diversify bilateral trade, and improve the climate for business between the two blocs. The framework further seeks to bolster partnerships in initiatives such as the African Growth and Opportunity Act, the World Trade Organisation’s Doha Round of negotiations, trade facilitation and skills building.

The US, however, said it was now pursuing a full treaty with the EAC, just six months after China signed a TIFA with the EAC to promote commodity trade, tourism, investment, infrastructure development and training.

“It is great that other parties such as China are looking more to East Africa and that shows the region has huge potential,” said Mr Camunez US Assistant Secretary for Commerce. “We however cannot hide the fact that America is also interested in the region.  ”China is particularly active in the construction and infrastructure development sector in East Africa and has since branched into other key economic areas such as manufacturing. “I’ve witnessed first-hand the skyrocketing level of investment that has come into Kenya from other parts of the world such as China, India, the Gulf region and elsewhere,” he said. “It’s easy to see why American exporters and investors simply must be more fully engaged.”

To claw back America’s influence in East Africa, President Barack Obama’s administration has taken on a fresh campaign to press for new trade and investment partnership with the bloc. “The proposal calls for the negotiation of a regional investment treaty, the creation of trade enhancing agreements in areas such as trade facilitation, and importantly the establishment of a new commercial dialogue that will facilitate engagement between public and private sectors,” the US official said. Mr Camunez said as part of the deal the US will press for good governance in key areas such as procurement and the adoption of asset protection and intellectual property rights enforcement policies. “We are hopeful that our proposed regional trade package will be accepted by Kenya and the greater EAC and we look forward to deepening our engagement here,” he said.

“Kenya is extremely well positioned to capitalise on this momentum. It holds great potential, enormous opportunity and extra ordinary promise and is a critical hub for American companies in Africa and it offers an important platform and hub for doing business in the continent,” Mr Camunez said.

Kenya hosts more than 60 US firms including giants like General Electric, IBM, Citi, Dow Chemicals, farm machinery maker John Deer, Google, Microsoft, Corn Products, General Motors East Africa and Coca-Cola.  An audit by consultancy firm, Ernest & Young showed that the US was the highest source of new foreign direct investment into projects in Kenya between 2003 and last year.

This move by the US is not surprising. Apart from the EAC-China agreement, we should not forget the EAC EPA with the EU which was initialled, remains unsigned and is still yet to be concluded.

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Bilateral Investment Treaties Entered Into by EAC States

EAC Partner States have entered into various Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs) some of which are in force. This information is based on the UNCTAD Investment Database and it is noted that some of the BITs may no longer be in force. Hence for most current updates it is best to contact the Partner States themselves.  

Burundi has 5 BITs, Kenya 3 BITs (all EU), Rwanda 3 BITs, Tanzania 9 BITs (all European Economic Area (EEA) while Uganda has the most at 13 of which 8 are with EEA countries.  

As indicated most of the BITs are with EU countries notably Germany, UK, Belgium and the Netherlands.  Of the 34 BITs identified, 25 are with the EU region (almost 75%). Rwanda is the only country with a BIT with the US. Uganda has BITs  with other African countries e.g. Mozambique, Egypt, Sudan and Eritrea and is the only country with a BIT with China.  Burundi is indicated as having BITs with Mauritius and Comoros.

Below is an overall compilation of the BITs and the Parties. 

Burundi: Belgium, Germany, Mauritius, UK, Comoros and Netherlands
Kenya: Germany, UK, Netherlands
Rwanda: Belgium, Germany, US
Tanzania: Denmark, Switzerland, UK, Belgium, Finland, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Sweden
Uganda: Denmark, Egypt, France, Netherlands, Switzerland, UK, Sweden, Germany, Belgium, Mozambique, Sudan, Eritrea, China

On global trends, its useful to note that the US and Germany are the top home sources of outflows of FDI while the US and China are the top host destinations for inflows of FDI (2010 data). Meanwhile the EAC and the US have concluded a Trade and Investment Framework Agreement which is a cooperative agreement. However, as a region, the EU is the world's leading host of FDI as well as the world's biggest source of FDI outside the EU. Consequently, the EU Member States together account for almost half of the investment agreements currently in force around the world (almost 1300).  See previous related post here on the new EU approach to investment and the EPA investment negotiations.

While international investment agreements have traditionally been negotiated by the relevant government ministry, there is now an emerging trend of inter-ministerial or inter-agency coordination. This process is particularly prominent at the European level and in EU member States. To the extent that countries are reviewing their BITs or that BITs need to undergo domestic ratification processes, the call for increasing transparency and inclusiveness of BIT-related decision-making is gaining additional traction.  Sectoral investment agreements are also a viable option where there is compelling justification to consider a BIT however using a more targeted and conservative approach.

Sunday, April 1, 2012

Rwanda-US Bilateral Investment Treaty and the EAC Common Market Protocol

The Rwanda-US Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) was signed in Kigali in 2008 and the United States Senate unanimously approved the treaty on September 26, 2011. Meanwhile, the EAC-US Trade and Investment Framework Agreement (TIFA) was signed in July 2008 between USTR and the EAC.  In addition, the EAC Common Market Protocol (CMP) to which Rwanda is a member came into force into force on 1st July 2010. 


The Rwanda-US BIT is the first to be concluded between the US and a sub-Saharan African country since 1998 (when a BIT was signed with Mozambique). Although there are over 40 BITs in force to which the US is a Party, this Treaty with Rwanda is only the second concluded on the basis of the ambitious 2004 U.S. model BIT. Other African countries with BITs currently in force with the US include: DRC, The Congo, Morocco, Senegal, Egypt, Cameroon and Tunisia. The BIT with Rwanda will remain in force for ten years after its entry into force and will continue in force unless terminated by a Party by providing one year’s advance notice to the other Party. 

The BIT provides investors with legal protections which include non-discriminatory treatment of investors and investments and the right to freely transfer investment-related funds.  Unlike the EAC CMP however, the BIT also provides for prompt, adequate, and effective compensation in the event of an expropriation; freedom from specified performance requirements, such as domestic content or technology transfer requirements; and provisions to ensure transparency in governance. The BIT also gives investors in all sectors the right to bring investment disputes to neutral international arbitration panels.  

In comparison, EAC CMP Article 29 on the Protection of Cross-Border Investments, undertakes to protect investors and their returns in a non-discriminatory manner however the modalities for doing so are not yet finalised. Article 29:3 proposes that within 2 years after the coming into force of the CMP, Partner States will take measures to ensure necessary protections in the Community.


In contrast, the EAC-US TIFA establishes a EAC-US Council On Trade and Investment to monitor trade, identify and remove impediments to trade and investment.

The BIT contains provisions on National Treatment and Most-Favoured-Nation Treatment whereby it protects investors of a Party and their covered investments from discriminatory measures by the other Party during the full life-cycle of an investment, including the establishment phase. Each Party commits to provide to investors of the other Party and to their covered investments treatment no less favorable than that which it provides, in like circumstances, to its own investors (National Treatment) or to investors from any third country and their investments (MFN Treatment). In this instance, Rwanda has committed in the BIT to give US investors similar treatment it is providing to EAC Partner States, in like circumstances, under the Common Market Protocol. 

In contrast however, the EAC CMP Article 13 on the Right of Establishment, EAC States have committed to the principle of MFN but not the principle of National Treatment. However in Article 16 on the Free Movement of Services, the principles of MFN and National Treatment are addressed. Hence National Treatment is applicable in the EAC CMP for investment in the services sectors but seemingly not investment in industrial sectors e.g. agriculture, manufacturing, hunting, and forestry, mining and quarrying, energy production/transmission and distribution. 

On Transfers, the BIT has free transfer obligations which require that a Party permit capital and other transfers related to an investment be made freely both into and out of its territory. Additionally, a Party must permit transfers to be made in a ‘‘freely usable currency,’’ as designated by the IMF, at the market rate prevailing at the time of the transfer. Parties may however prevent transfers through the equitable and non-discriminatory application of certain laws. The EAC CMP on the other hand has provisions on the Free Movement of Capital Articles 24-28 which corresponds to the CMP Schedule on the Removal of Restrictions on Free Movement of Capital (Annex VI).

On Performance Requirements, the BIT prohibits the imposition by the Parties of several requirements relating to the performance of investments, including a requirement to achieve a given level of exports or domestic content or requirements linking the value of imports or domestic sales by an investment to the level of its export or foreign exchange earnings. The Article also prohibits Parties from offering advantages, such as tax holidays, in exchange for a more limited set of performance requirements. In the WTO context, the Agreement on Trade Related Investment Measures (TRIMS) takes a similar prohibitive approach however only in the context of trade in goods. 

So as not to place U.S. and Rwandan investors at a competitive disadvantage, the disciplines on performance requirements also apply to all investments in the territory (non-discrimination) of a Party, including those owned or controlled by host-country investors (domestic investors) and those owned by non-Parties. The EAC CMP does not impose performance requirements however it would seem that by virtue of the BIT, Rwanda cannot impose such measures even in the services sectors vis a vie any third Party. In practice, Rwanda may want as a policy to impose some performance requirements e.g. the technology transfer in targeted sectors, vis a vie more developed countries and justifiably so, in order to meet key development objectives.  This provision is therefore not in the interest of Rwanda given her level of development. It should be mentioned that the development of China is linked to performance requirements (local content) the Chinese government put in place for foreign investors. See related piece here. Fortunately however Rwanda has exempted performance requirements in her Annex II on non conforming measures (discussed below).

On Senior Management and Boards of Directors, the BIT prohibits measures requiring that persons of any particular nationality be appointed to senior management positions in a covered investment. A Party may require that a majority of the board of directors of a covered investment be of a particular nationality, or that a director be a resident of the host country, so long as such requirements do not materially impair an investor’s control over its investment. This provision would prevent Rwanda from implementing broad-based local empowerment policy to foster development of its own nationals into senior management positions and fortunately Rwanda exempted this in her list of non conforming measures (discussed below). Meanwhile in this context, the EAC CMP does not discipline the composition of Boards of Directors and the nationality of Senior Management by virtue of the principles of free movement of workers and right of establishment. The CMP only requires that juridical persons be established in accordance with the national laws of a Partner State.  

In the Publication of Laws and Decisions the provisions in the BIT seek to promote transparency in the legal framework governing investment. It requires the Parties to ensure that laws, regulations, procedures, administrative rulings of general application, and adjudicatory decisions that relate to any matter covered by the Treaty are promptly published or otherwise made publicly available. The EAC CMP contains a mildly similar provision in the Free Movement of Services chapter Article 19 whereby notification is required but not publication and the notification only applies after the introduction of the measure. 

In the BIT, each Party is obligated, to the extent possible, to publish in advance any laws, regulations, procedures, or administrative rulings of general application with respect to matters covered by the Treaty that the Party proposes to adopt, and to provide interested persons and the other Party a reasonable opportunity to comment on the proposed measures. In the EAC CMP, provisions on advance publication and comments are not addressed.  In practice this means that the US would have the opportunity to view, comment  and make recommendations in advance, on Rwanda's proposed laws and regulations however EAC Partner States would not.


On the rules of origin (Denial of Benefits) the BIT establishes that a Party may deny the benefits of the Treaty to an investor of the other Party if persons of a third country own or control the enterprise and the denying Party either (1) has no diplomatic relations with the third country; or (2) adopts or maintains measures, such as foreign policy sanctions, with respect to the third country or to a person of the third country that prohibit transactions with the enterprise or that would be violated or circumvented if the benefits of the Treaty were accorded to the enterprise or to its investments. This provision impacts on third Parties that are on sanctioned lists of either Party.

The provisions on Denial of Benefits also establishes that a Party may deny the benefits of the Treaty to an investor of the other Party if the enterprise has no substantial business activities in the territory of the other Party and persons of a third country, or of the denying Party, own or control the enterprise. 

The Agreement also lists Non-Conforming Measures (equivalent to negative lists) and in these Annexes, each Party lists existing measures to which any or all of four key obligations of the Treaty do not apply, and sectors or activities in which each Party reserves the right to adopt future measures to which any or all of those obligations will not apply. Annex III of the BIT is reserved for financial services NCMs. 

Annex I:


Rwanda: Exemption from MFN and National treatment in all sectors to allow for differential minimum capital requirements for investment registration. Here Rwanda identifies "local investors" to include Rwandese and COMESA investors who are entitled to a lower capital threshold (USD 100,000) than "foreign investors" (USD 250,000). While EAC is not mentioned in the BIT given the common market was not yet in place, one can argue that the EAC falls in the "local investor" category since the common market is technically working towards a single market.

United States: Atomic Energy; Mining; Air Transportation; Customs Brokers; Radiocommunications Licenses; and restrictions on securities registration and OPIC insurance eligibility. 

Annex II 

Rwanda: Preferences for socially or economically disadvantaged communities and differential treatment pursuant to existing international treaties. Here Rwanda reserves the right to adopt  measures in all sectors that are not consistent with the provisions on National Treatment, Performance Requirements and Senior Management and Boards of Directors in order to accord rights or preferences to socially or economically disadvantaged communities. 


Rwanda also reserves the right in all sectors to deviate from MFN provisions in order to adopt or maintain any measure that accord differential treatment to countries under any bilateral or multilateral international agreement in force or signed before the BIT. For agreements signed or in force after the date of entry into force of BIT, Rwanda reserved the right to deviate from MFN treatment with regard to: (a) aviation; (b) fisheries; and (c) telecommunications.  

United States: Radio/Satellite Communications, Cable Television, Social Services, Minority Affairs, measures relating to U.S.-flagged maritime vessels, and differential treatment pursuant to existing international treaties. 

Annex III 

Rwanda: On insurance, Rwanda states that the entry shall cease to have effect on the earlier of: (i) the date that Rwanda enacts an insurance law that eliminates the non-conforming aspects of the measure as set forth above;' or (ii) September 1, 2009.

United States: Financial Services/Banking, Insurance, and general Financial Services. 

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Overall the US has more detailed sector specific Non Conforming Measures than Rwanda especially in the services sectors (transport (maritime, aviation), communication (audio visual, telecom), financial services (banking, insurance and other financial services). However Rwanda also made useful exemptions but at a sectoral level made general carve-outs in insurance, aviation, telecommunications and fisheries.  

The key take away from this comparison is the Rwanda-US BIT is highly asymmetrical and is more ambitious than the EAC CMP. Theoretically it can prejudice the regional processes given its objectives of MFN, National Treatment, Dispute Settlement (including Expropriation, Compensation), Intrusion in Law Making Processes (governance) and broad-based elimination of: performance requirements, empowerment measures including elimination of legitimate development oriented requirements for foreign investment and repatriation. 


Whether such comprehensive coverage is desirable for African countries is an important question, the answer to which is highly context- and situation-specific, and needs to be assessed against the overall objective of ensuring that investment treaties promote investment that actually exists or has the compelling potential to exist and that fosters sustainable development. The propensities to invest and hence the need for protection through an ambitious BIT is an important consideration before signing BITs as such needs may change over time. In closing its important to note that several countries receiving high FDI receipts in Africa e.g. Angola, Sudan have very few BITs and in a previous post we found that strict FDI provisions in BITs do not increase investment.

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

National Treatment and Kenya's Land Reform Following the New Constitution

Kenya has over time proved to be the preferred investment point in the East African region due to its strategic location and free market economy which places no significant restriction on the movement of foreign currency in and out of the market.  However there is one important change to the investment environment since the promulgation of the new Constitution of Kenya (the 'Constitution') found in Chapter Five Part 1 on Land and Environment.

The Constitution was brought into law on August 27 2010 and inter alia sets the reform agenda for better governance. In general the new Constitution will lead to the creation of new institutions that will promote good governance and in turn boost investor confidence. 

However, in one aspect, the Constitution contains articles that now limit the period that a foreigner may hold land to 99 years (Article 65 (1). This includes any company which has any element of foreign shareholding.  The Constitution also provides that any interest in land that is currently held by foreigners which is in excess of 99 years will have the term reduced to 99 years and freehold land will be converted to 99 years leasehold interest (Article 65(2)). Investors have indicated to Government that limiting the interest period to 99 years will not be conducive to foreign investors looking to invest in Kenya. There is also no provision for compensation to foreigners in the Constitution. The Constitution gives Parliament a time frame of eighteen months for the enactment of legislation relating to land and it will be interesting to see the impact the legislation will have on the business environment.

In the WTO Trade in Services context, Kenya made horizontal commitments in the Uruguay Round on market access in Mode 3 requiring that for commercial presence investors should establish their business locally.  There are however no horizontal limitations on national treatment to which limitations on foreign ownership of land would be reflected. In the sectors where Kenya has undertaken specific commitments, Telecommunications services, Financial services (including banking and insurance), Tourism & Travel related services and Transport services (air and road), mode 3 national treatment commitments are in some cases left unbound. However in the hotels and restaurants category, arguably a sub sector to which land is a determinant, Kenya has completely liberalised mode 3 both in the WTO GATs context and the EAC Common Market Services Schedule (Annex V).

Additionally, in the EAC Common Market Protocol, Article 13 on the Right of Establishment and Article 14 on the Right of Residence are relevant to the land question.  To the extent that they relate to access to and use of land premises, these provisions are subject to Article 15 which provides that land issues shall be governed by the national policies and laws of Partner States. Hence even in the common market, one could say that national treatment has not been extended to the land issue especially as it relates to establishment (investment).  

Thursday, March 8, 2012

Bileateral Investment Treaties (BITs) Coming Back To Bite

Published by TIA

See related blog post on ICSID

African governments once rushed into signing Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs) to encourage FDI. Lawyers are however now calling for new models.

With much of Africa’s investment coming from abroad, how governments manage complaints from foreign companies is a vital determinant of the business environment. For decades, foreign investors depended on diplomatic protection from home governments in their overseas adventures, which occasionally gave rise to “gunboat diplomacy”. The US, for example, sent troops into Latin America 34 times to settle commercial disputes.

Since the 1960s, and spiking in the 1990s, a more formal investment approach was attempted in the form of bilateral investment treaties (BITs). These state-to-state agreements establish how governments handle investors from each other’s country, covering fair and equitable treatment, security, and compensation for expropriation, in assets but also, in some cases, in shares, stocks, bonds and other modalities. While BITs infringe sovereignty, in that disputes are settled in international tribunals and not domestic courts, many developing countries saw them as a way of signalling their attractiveness for foreign investment.

The number of treaties has grown exponentially, to around 2,500 today. The number of claims is growing too. Philip Morris, Total, Mobil, Shell, Siemens and Cargill have all taken states to arbitration, with Sri Lanka suffering the first award against a developing country in 1990. Twenty-six percent of new claims in 2010 had an African or Middle Eastern state party involved. In Africa, Zimbabwe, Tanzania, Namibia, Liberia, Algeria and Senegal have all faced actions. There are likely to be more disputes in areas such as mining, water and agriculture, according to Mahnaz Malik, an investment arbitration lawyer at the Chambers of Arthur Marriott QC at 12 Gray’s Inn Square. She warns that events such as the Arab Spring can generate a flood of claims.

But so far, South Africa is arguably the most prominent in the African context. Pretoria signed 30 BITs post-1994 to attract private investment. The new government had inherited a society that was among the most unequal in the world, where the vast majority of black South Africans had been excluded from meaningful economic activity under apartheid. As part of a set of initiatives to redress this inheritance and to meet the government’s constitutional obligation to create a more open and equitable society based on human rights, Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) programmes were initiated.

In 2007, a group of investors from Italy and Luxembourg filed a claim at the Convention of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), arguing that South Africa’s 2002 Minerals and Petroleum Resources Development Act (MPRDA) contained provisions that amounted to expropriation of their mineral rights, thus violating the BITs South Africa had signed with both countries. The MPRDA, a separate piece of legislation from BEE that aims to transform the minerals industry in South Africa, requires that holders of mineral rights undertake equity or equity-equivalent obligations; requirements emerging from consultations between the government and relevant parties, including representatives of the claimants. The South African government defended the MPRDA by arguing that it protected existing mineral rights and allowed for their uninterrupted use so long as companies also met the government’s wider transformational obligations in some accepted combination. In a punitive judgment, the Icsid tribunal dismissed the claimant’s case, ordered them to pay the legal costs of the South African government, and prevented claimants from bringing any such action again in future.

On the basis of similar reviews conducted internationally, notably, in the US, Norway, and certain Latin American states, South Africa launched a lengthy BIT review, the conclusion of which is that the country will not enter any new treaties unless there are “compelling economic reasons”, says Xavier Carim, deputy director general of the international trade and economic development division of South Africa’s Department of Trade and Industry. “The very fact that narrow, shortsighted commercial interests can subject progressive and laudable government policies to international arbitration, the outcomes of which are unpredictable, creates unacceptable risks that can have a chilling impact on legitimate public policy making,” he says, noting that there have been inconsistencies in the rulings taken by tribunals over similar cases.

It would be simplistic to characterise BITs as simply giving rise to clashes between progressive government policy and corporate interests. In some cases, such as a SOABI v. Senegal dispute, the problem was a largely technical disagreement over terms and conditions of a low cost housing programme.

In Zimbabwe, cases have been brought in objection to the ruling Zanu-PF party’s arbitrary and at times violent land reform programme. Broad and ambiguous terms have been a central problem of many agreements, says Jansen Calamita, senior research fellow in international trade and investment law at the British Institute of Comparative and International Law. “BITs are an agreement by the host state to accept the application of external standards to determine the legality of its actions – standards above and beyond the state’s constitution and national law. If the standards agreed are not clear – as they largely are not – it will be left to tribunals to give meaning and effect to those standards.”

Some lawyers believe the first wave of BITs were signed too fast, with text penned by a closely-knit group of Western lawyers. The majority of BITs reflect the texts developed to promote the 1960s anti-communist, post-decolonisation protection agenda for European investors, says Ms Malik. She believes capacity to understand complex investment law issues is not always present in developing country negotiators. She notes that the imbalance becomes more acute as negotiations are often based on the developed country’s model. In a speech at the London School of Economics, Randall Williams of the South African Trade Department claimed to have seen negotiators making agreements without the presence of a lawyer.

Latin American governments have come out strongly in opposition to prevailing norms. In 2009, Ecuador’s vice minister of foreign affairs, Lautaro Pozo, said BITs reflected a “fifty year old ideology” and that many countries signed them without sufficient understanding of their implications. BITs did not, in his reckoning, reflect the objectives of developing states, especially on issues of the environment and human rights.

In one case, Philip Morris tried to sue Uruguay for copyright infringement when it ruled that cigarette packets needed to carry health warnings. Bolivian President Evo Morales claims that international arbitration offends state sovereignty, with Bolivia, Ecuador and most recently Venezuela denouncing Icsid, the Washington-based arbitration body, part of the World Bank Group, which settles nearly half of claims. India and Mexico have both refused to be party to the Icsid Convention, and Brazil has not ratified any BITs.

Others are more upbeat. “I think the backlash against investment treaties is overstated,” says Anthony Sinclair, a partner at law firm Allen & Overy. “Countries continue to sign these treaties at a rate of about 50 a year.” Mr Sinclair acknowledges there is “fine-tuning and recalibrating” of text, especially in terms of public interest regulation. “At the same time, countries are in search of growth, for which foreign investment is key.”

There is no credible analysis proving the effect of BITs on investment, which would be very hard to quantify. Furthermore, BITs are not the sole determinant of investment. China is a prolific signatory, but continues to invest in countries without BITs – in contrast to Germany, where risk insurance is only issued to companies if they are operating in a country with a German treaty. Yet whenever governments and investors are discussing major cross-border investment, “everybody” on both sides is talking about investment treaties, Mr Sinclair claims.

The focus on treaties should not draw attention away from domestic reforms which could lessen the investment risk. Guinea-Bissau has undertaken domestic reform, turning a single court system dealing with everything from divorces to commercial disputes, into a more differentiated structure with commercial courts run by appropriately trained legal teams and judges, says Raimundo Pereira, speaker of the Parliament of Guinea-Bissau. Nonetheless, bilateral frameworks do appear to be of growing importance to investors.

Despite the frustrations, there is little that can be done about existing treaties until they expire, at which point clearer text can be negotiated, or countries can withdraw. Pulling out of active treaties altogether is unlikely. Even South Africa has not done so, given the diplomatic downsides. The goal of African legal teams is to improve the text in future agreements.

To date, many African governments employed international law firms to advise on treaties. While this helps buffet their expertise in negotiations, capacity-building of African government lawyers is needed. Rukia Baruti recently founded the African International Legal Awareness (AILA) programme, which in late 2011 organised a week long BIT training workshop. Participants included lawyers from Liberia, Ghana, Uganda, the Gambia, Egypt and South Africa. Baruti organised the workshop, held in London, after attending an investment conference in Mauritius, where many African attendees were unfamiliar with investment treaty arbitration.

“By building capacity and increasing awareness of the consequences of concluding investment treaties, African states will, before signing such treaties, carefully examine the meaning and consider the provisions. This would go a long way to avoiding disputes involving African states.”  Mr Sinclair speaks approvingly of AILA, in which his firm participated. “There is no shortage of good will on the part of international lawyers to contribute on a pro bono basis. The issue is whether there are enough people with sufficient inspiration and energy, like Rukia, to organise these activities. Otherwise busy lawyers in firms or chambers, or in academic careers, may not be able to produce something like this themselves.”

Aila has since been approached by African governments to deliver training in-country. Similarly, the International Institute for Sustainable Development has conducted training courses for African government officials in country and at a regional level.  It is important to note that while bilateral treaties have been overwhelmingly North-South in the past, that is changing in reflection of growing South-South economic interaction. Current BITs between developing countries include Mozambique-Indonesia, Djibouti-China and Eritrea-Uganda. South-South deals provide a platform to create more development-orientated texts, but often the European template is copied over. Regional treaties on the other hand tend to create more bespoke texts.

“I have found that debate is healthier in regional dynamics compared to a bilateral context,” says Ms Malik. A recent COMESA Agreement treaty contains more nuanced obligations than those found typically in bilateral treaties, she claims, including provisions to allow tribunals to take greater account of the development status of the host state. The COMESA treaty also omitted the full protection and security standard, a controversial feature in many BITs which puts hefty responsibilities on states. Algeria was taken to tribunal to pay damages related to civil unrest during the civil war. Similarly, Congo faced a claim for riots on the streets of Kinshasa.

The COMESA treaty, and new model texts, exhibit the potential for designing modern templates, says Ms Malik. “It shows African countries that they are not tied to the old European model. It paves the way for innovation in terms of making the treaties better balanced.”

Published by TIA : 05 March, 2012

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

China and EAC Sign Trade and Investment Framework Agreement

The Framework Agreement between EAC and China focuses on the promotion of commodity trade, exchange of visits by business people from EAC and China, co-operation in investment, infrastructure development, human resource development and training. The two sides also created a Joint Committee on Economy, Trade, Investment and Technical Cooperation (JCET) as the implementation framework for the Agreement. 

This is a different type agreement from the EPAs. It focuses on market enabling assistance in areas such as infrastructure development, skills development and private sector engagement. In fact, China has indicated she will provide funding for feasibility studies on roads and infrastructure. The focus on commodity trade also signals willingness to expand agricultural production and processing of agricultural commodities and thereby enhancement of the value chain.


Monday, September 12, 2011

BRICS- SA's Role

Interesting analysis below from the business day. Should note that SA's BRICS membership also adds another dimension to the tripartite  FTA consisting of COMESA-EAC-SADC Member States.

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There is wide consensus that SA’s place in the emerging-market bloc that groups Brazil, Russia, India and China together, is only justified by SA’s strategic importance on the continent.


That means the country needs to tread a careful path between touting its own interests and facilitating links to the rest of Africa.


"It would be in SA’s interest to see this as a bargaining opportunity for the continent rather than just being expedient," said Standard Bank ’s group chief economist, Goolam Ballim. "Otherwise this could be harmful in the longer term for inter- African relationships."


It is a delicate task as SA does not have a mandate at this point to speak for any other African country. Jim O’Neill, the banker from Goldman Sachs who invented the acronym for the first four Bric countries, has said that Nigeria is in a better position to join the grouping.

SA’s economy is only a quarter the size of Russia’s, the next-smallest Brics member, and its share of world trade has been stagnant at 0,5% over the past decade. Its pace of growth also lags well behind the bloc’s other members.

But SA has a lot to offer the group, which analysts say could evolve into a political force rivalling the Group of Seven developed nations, campaigning for the interests of emerging economies. SA has one of the strongest financial sectors in the world, and receives about 95% of Africa’s portfolio inflows — foreign buying of local shares and bonds.

It could provide capital for companies looking to expand into the continent and is rated as the easiest place to open a business among all the other BRICS countries.

That would make it the logical choice for firms to establish their headquarters in SA.

The country is already the services hub for the continent and has significant corporate clout in the global arena.

Where it falls short is on transport infrastructure, both within the country and linked to its African neighbours.

Nonetheless, SA’s place on the continent is seen as key to its debut in the Brics club this week at the meeting at a Chinese resort.

"We are not individually important enough but if we can fill the role of an entry point to Africa, it will be an enormous opportunity," says Absa Capital economist Jeff Gable.

Sub-Saharan Africa has become the second-fastest growing region in the world after Asia and has been more resilient to the global financial crisis then Asia, Latin America and Eastern Europe. It offers an untapped market of hundreds of millions of people.

Standard Chartered’s regional research head for Africa, Razia Khan, thinks that the summit is unlikely to come up with concrete measures that will immediately affect the Brics economies.

But some analysts are expecting preferential trade agreements and developmental finance deals, given the participation of state-owned financial institutions.

Iraj Abedian, chief economist for Pan African Capital Holdings, hopes that the Brics summit will establish a "credible institution" to underpin its political clout. If that does not happen, it will remain a political multilateral rather than an economic leadership forum, he says.

For another piece on BRICS see here.

Thursday, March 3, 2011

Kenya To Establish the Nairobi International Financial Centre

Kenya hopes to position itself as a financial services hub similar to other financial hubs in the world e.g. London, New York, Dublin, Mauritius and Johannesburg.

Towards this end, finance minister Hon. Uhuru Kenyatta has launched a committee that will guide the establishment of the Nairobi International Financial Centre (NIFC), whose key task will be integrate the domestic financial sector to others in the region and globally. The committee will come up with proposals on the preferred type, financial implications, funding options and an implementation plan for the centre. The Steering Committee for Nairobi International Financial Centre was gazette is now operational.

The term “international financial centre” (NFIC) is often used interchangeably with “tax haven” or “secrecy jurisdiction,” although the latter terms have more negative connotations. Scholars generally label as “tax havens” those territories that offer favourable tax regimes and bank secrecy laws designed to attract foreign investors.

An International Financial Center is part of Kenya's Vision 030 and the Vision pointed to Mauritius and the Seychelles as potential models for the Kenyan IFC. It is envisioned that the NIFC may grant tax incentives, including a maximum 10-year tax holiday, along with VAT and customs exemptions.

It is envisioned that the NIFC may grant tax incentives, including a maximum 10-year tax holiday, along with VAT and customs exemptions.  However the international Financial Center will transform the economy, but observers warn it could contribute to illicit financial flows, inequality and a lack of transparency.

Meanwhile, in the regional context the World Bank has provided funding for the development of the  EAC Financial Sector Development & Regionalization Project and Financial Services is one of the 7 trade in services sectors to be liberalized under the EAC Common Market Protocol on the Free Movement of Services.

Setting up of the NIFC along with legal and institutional reforms are some of the projects envisioned for the financial sector under the country’s economic blueprint — vision 2030 — along with banking sector consolidation, pension reform and increasing diaspora remittances. 

The NIFC would also have a separate legal and judicial framework that would attract companies to set up shop.

See related story here.

Wednesday, February 16, 2011

EAC Financial Services and Double Taxation Avoidance Treaty

The 9 year EAC Financial Sector Development & Regionalization Project, funded by the World Bank is a welcome development.   A strong regional financial sector is needed to underpin an effective common market and build a single financial services market for the region.  The development of a regional financial services sector, will also benefit the establishment of a monetary union and single currency.  In addition, the EAC region stands to gain by trading on a regional stock exchange, i.e a single East African Stock Exchange and furthermore, the harmonization of the financial services sector will play a key role in unlocking the removal of barriers for the free movement of capital across the EAC region- as provided for by the Common Market Protocol. 

In related news, the EAC region has apparently not implemented the Treaty on Avoidance of Double Taxation. The Double Taxation Treaty would allow income generated in any of the five member states to be taxed only once but lack of implementation has given national revenue bodies the legitimacy to maintain the status quo with revenue authorities making double claims for revenue earned in each individual country.

Thursday, February 3, 2011

Why Investors are Flocking to Mauritius

Foreign companies with an eye on Africa’s emerging markets are apparently flocking to Mauritius to incorporate local subsidiaries in a move that could deny more than a dozen African governments billions in corporate taxes and position the island nation as the region’s economic hub.
Possibly the the range of incentives available to foreign firms in Mauritius. This includes a 15 per cent charge on a company’s taxable income such as business or trading profits. This amount is half the almost 30 per cent rate that other countries in the region apply to  similar income.

Foreigners living in Mauritius are also apparently spared royalty taxes compared to other countries in the region who in some cases tax at the rate of 20 per cent.  In addition, Mauritius has more than 30 double taxation treaties with African countries alone and has recently entered into Investment Promotion and Protection Agreements (IPPAs) with its double taxation partners.

Finally an efficient judicial and dispute resolution mechanisms has also given Mauritius an edge over the competition in Africa, with the The World Bank’s Doing Business 2011 report, ranking Mauritius’ judicial system as the best in Africa in terms of reforms aimed at facilitating business and investment transactions.

See related full article here.

Thursday, January 27, 2011

US State Department to aggressively increase FDI in Africa.

Its about time we linked AGOA to FDI.  So far, US companies have played a more limited role in boosting AGOA exports from Africa. 

Regarding the linkage between AGOA and FDI, especially in the textile and apparel industry in SSA, an example is the textile and apparel industry in Lesotho, one of the largest in SSA, which has been boosted in recent years by the influx of Asian investors who have taken advantage of the AGOA program.
However this is not investment coming from the US.


See related article here.

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Structural Changes in the SA Aviation Industry

A new airline is reportedly seeking a certificate and air service licence issued by the Air Service Licensing Council in SA in order to gain admittance into the local South African airspace. This should be good news for consumers.


The Business Day carries the following excerpt:

"A NEW airline flying between Cape Town, Durban and Johannesburg may grace SA’s skies this year, adding to competition in a sector traded by at least three budget airlines and South African Airways.  Very little is known about the backers of Durban-based Velvet Sky, and a source who did not wish to be named said yesterday that it would be premature to comment on plans.....

SA’s airline industry is in a state of structural change, with premium national airlines such as South African Airways losing market share against no-frills competitors such as JSE-listed 1time and kulula.com.

Last month, low-cost airline Mango took over all the Durban-to-Cape Town flights from its parent, South African Airways. The move has been interpreted as part of a strategy by the national carrier to exit short-haul routes where it has lost market share."



Sunday, January 2, 2011

Fragility of African Stock Exchanges


One of the biggest obstacles to investing in African stock markets is the paucity of listed companies and the limited number of shares traded on them. So the prospect of two fairly major delistings is not a particularly comfortable one for African exchanges at a time they are trying to encourage more companies to list and to capitalise on the growing investor appetite for Africa.

Bharti Airtel is delisting its Lusaka-listed Celtel Zambia unit – the second biggest company by market capitalization on the Zambian stock exchange – following a mandatory offer to buy out minority shareholders.

Meanwhile, Greek Coke bottler Coca-Cola Hellenic – the world’s second biggest Coke bottler – plans to buy out the Nigerian Bottling Company and turn it into a wholly-owned subsidiary in a $126 million deal. It already owned two-thirds of the shares.

In neither case is there a suggestion the parent company will not be planning to pump in more investment – quite the opposite in fact as Africa is increasingly seen as a place to get above average returns and with excellent growth prospects.  But taking the companies off the stock exchanges removes the chance for other investors to get that direct exposure to the African opportunities.

There was a chance South African retailer Massmart could disappear from the bourse too after WalMart announced a buyout plan, but the U.S. giant now intends to keep the Johannesburg listing – so Massmart investors can keep their participation in the expected growth it sees in Africa.

Overall it hasn’t been a bad year for African stock exchange listings given that we’ve seen Nigeria’s Dangote Cement – the biggest firm in sub-Saharan Africa outside South Africa – float its shares in a listing which valued it at $14 billion at the time (now nearer $12 billion).  That said, the free float – the proportion of shares held by investors likely to trade – is only just over 5 percent.

African stock exchanges certainly have their work cut out to encourage more companies to see them as the best place for raising finance. Questions have long been raised over whether Africa needs so many small national exchanges and whether it might not be to everyone’s advantage to have listings on fewer, bigger markets.

See previous post here.